The Super Bowl is the single largest sports betting event of the year and every online sportsbook will attempt to confuse you with a ridiculous number of prop bets, at Sports Interaction for example there are over 300 different bets you can make for Super Bowl XLV. I’ve analysed what is offer and come up with a rough guide to help you avoid the pitfalls:

Aaron Rodgers Will go over 63% Pass Completion:

This one is hard to call and the sportsbooks are offering -120 on the over and -120 on the under. Nobody can tell how this will go but with Rodgers heavily reliant on his receivers to outmanoeuvre Troy Polamalu it is tough to see him exceeding the line when the Steelers defence average 61% pass completion for opposing quarter backs.

MrSportsbook Verdict: In between but back the Under at -120

Game Decided by Three Points or Less

This is a favorite of the online sportsbook as everybody is hoping for a tense encounter that is decided by the final play of the game as Rodgers hurls a Hail Mary but it in 45 years of Super Bowls there have only been six decided by a field goal or less. The Steelers and Packers combine for ten games this season that have been decided by three or less but the good money is on the over.

MrSportsbook Verdict: Ugly – avoid or back the over at short money

James Starks Rushing Over 52.5 Yards

Rookie James Starks has a low average run but will likely be Rodgers go to guy on the run and he will need to break up the plays to his receivers. Rodgers will get plenty of the ball and with the over 16.5 carries at such a short price the smart money is on Starks escaping at least once and getting up over the 525.5 yards.

MrSportsbook Verdict: Good – back the over 52.5 at -120

Opening Kickoff Returned for TD

Despite this happening four years ago as Devin Hester ran it back both chase defences are too strong to allow it again and in all honesty there’s no way it can happen again. Even if you can get odds of up around +3300 it is one to be avoided.

MrSportsbook Verdict: Bad – even at +3300 avoid this one

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Enjoy the Super Bowl!